All in Trading

The antidote to the big 3 “F’s” — FOMO, FEAR, and FANTASY

It’s all over the internet; it’s all over the news. It’s the next big thing, and it’s going up without you. FOMO, regret, and thoughts of what could have been.

You can’t take it anymore. It’s up again — ten days in a row. But today you’ve made a stand, you’ve funded your account, and you’re just about to hit the buy button.

This is why most people lose. A cacophony of bias in your head, it’s almost like you’re hypnotised, and not in control of your senses. 

There’s a way to save yourself. A way to snap you out of the trance you’re in, a way back to the rational you.

Why trusting yourself defines the line between success and failure in the cryptocurrency market.

Pushing the envelope, and on the edge of out of control. This is “Chuck” Yeager describing what it felt like as he broke the sound barrier. 

And so it is with trading. Trading and investing in cryptocurrency markets is like traversing a fine line between success and failure. You’ve got to take the best information available to you and make a decision. It’s impossible to know the outcome. There are no guarantees. None.

How do you know when to push it? How do you know when to punch through?

It’s all about trust.

Price, Time Period, Volume, and the 4th Dimension of Every Crypto Market!

Most have not heard of the 4th dimension. But exist it does.

The fuel of the 4th dimension is fear. Imagine how useful it would be if you could measure fear, better yet, imagine if you could bottle it. Because if you could, that would mean you could compare how much fear existed at specific moments in time.

Like the MIT’s mental card counting, you could use it figure out your “count.” You could use it as a gauge of when the market becomes less random, or when the market odds swing in your favour.

Asking the Right Questions Overshadows Never-Ending Educational Success in Trading

The 95% make decisions not with their heads, but with their hearts. They take their ideas from others and rarely use their wit to figure out a strategy.

Most delay taking any action until FOMO, the fear of missing out, has them in its grip. The 95% use technical analysis tools to help them make decisions.

The most common tools the 95% use are moving average momentum indicators. Simple moving averages, multiple moving averages, moving average convergence divergence, and stochastics. They use different moving average lengths to predict highs and lows in markets, but which indicator and settings work best? And there’s the trap.

China's Bitcoin Ban Offers a Glance Into a Strategy to Protect Capital Reserves

China has aggressively dissuaded its citizens from buying Bitcoin, yet China dominates Bitcoin mining. Over 70% of all Bitcoin mining is Chinese owned.

If Bitcoin is going to break out to new highs and start a new uptrend, it’s going to need a catalyst.

Some analysts are optimistic that China will lift its ban. If it does then, this could provide the trigger for Bitcoin to move into a new uptrend.

What are the chances of this happening and how do you find out?

Pro traders know their point of reference before entering into a position

Most people are dissatisfied with their lives. And paradoxically, it’s not the demographic you’d expect. The most disenfranchised with their lot is often the most outwardly successful.

It’s because they’ve done everything the system asks of them, and yet they know within themselves they were promised more. Somewhere between 35 and 45 years old, and stuck on the freeway, there comes a time when they ask, “Is this all there is?”

And this is why the lure of magical systems is so persuasive.

The 95% ask themselves, “What if…”

Low tech vs. High tech. Can simple techniques find an edge?

The more uncertain you become, the more likely you are to do nothing. And as you do nothing, opportunity passes you by. There are windows of time to act when speculating in the cryptocurrency markets. Miss them, and your edge slips away. The majority, the 95%, miss out because they look around for guidance from others. They visit chat rooms, twitter feeds, facebook, anywhere to give them a clue.

The masses do almost everything, except what is required to be consistent and successful in speculation.

Cheap doesn’t measure price against price; it measures price against value

When you invest, the only thing you have control over is the price you will pay. Every time you look at a market’s price, you can choose to buy or not buy.

This week Ripple had a slew of positive news releases relating to the adoption of XRP, the Ripple protocol currency, and the announcement that xRapid, the cross-border payment system, is going live next month.

Huge volume accompanied by good news. Does this mean the bear market in Ripple and cryptocurrencies is over?

Speculation in cryptocurrency markets is difficult because the lesson comes after the test

Onboard an emotional roller coaster trying to be right, with no plan, no risk, and no money management, the 95% are destined to fail.

The 5% are patient. They wait for catalysts to force them into a position. The 95% think about the price they pay, but the 5% don’t. The 5% wait for triggers; they wait for catalysts that change the dynamic between supply and demand and events that change perceived future value.

Is there a root cause behind the development of new technology?

Cryptocurrencies: Imagine you know with absolute certainty what is going to happen in the future.

If you can figure out the most likely shifts in society, you can use your observations of actual market behaviour and trend, and adjust your expectations as the market gives you new information feedback.

If market behaviour matches your expected long-term view, each data point that supports your hypothesis builds on the last allowing you to build up a big picture overview of complex markets.

Getting on trend will help you trade the right market at the right time.

Are cryptocurrencies immune from the Power Law?

The majority of market participants spend their time reading about how the latest and greatest upgrade to an existing blockchain is going to change the game, or they read the opinions of cryptocurrency gurus, following them on social media, reading the tweets and posts for the one thing they are looking for. Certainty.

Unfortunately, certainty does not exist in any market, including the cryptocurrency space. In financial markets, venture capital, and macro economics, there is one law to rule them all.

Crypto trading: The majority look in the wrong place. They get in late, and out early.

The inconvenient truth: Most people new to the world of speculation and trading start defining trends with indicators and signals from the past. They don’t take the time to learn why trends begin, how trends move through time, and how they end.

Technical analysis is often used to show how easy it is to be successful in hindsight; however, the reality, for most, is different when they attempt to use a TA system in real time.

Not understanding background conditions is like walking across a freeway blindfolded.

The inconvenient truth: Most people new to the world of speculation and trading start defining trends with indicators and signals from the past. They don’t take the time to learn why trends begin, how trends move through time, and how they end.

Technical analysis is often used to show how easy it is to be successful in hindsight; however, the reality, for most, is different when they attempt to use a TA system in real time.

Tron is disrupting the world’s most valuable business — centralised big data.

Imagine a business, where the ingredients are free, but the end product is the most valuable commodity on Earth — a commodity so valuable it is taking over global stock markets.

The gatekeepers have outsourced content generation, but instead of paying you to create the content, you pay them. It’s like you paying a bank to hold your money on deposit, while they lend it out and keep the profit. Genius for them. Not so much for you. It’s a problem one cryptocurrency is attempting to solve.

Losing cryptocurrency traders do the same things in all conditions. Winning traders don’t.

The majority of traders don’t adjust their strategies depending on conditions, and they don’t monitor the strategies they use. Consistent speculators don’t just adjust strategies, dependent on where in the price cycle they are trading, they also follow the performance of the strategies they use, not only in testing before they use them but in real time.

Trading cryptocurrencies can look easy, but tripwires are hidden in plain site.

Not so long ago, it was possible to trade with 400:1 margin, and if you think that sounds like a lot, it is.

Depositing $10,000 in an account with 400:1 margin would allow you to control a $4,000,000 position. And of course, it also means a small move of 0.50% against your trade in the underlying market would wipe out your account — and a lot more.

Holding cryptocurrency losses isn’t easy, but to earn rewards tomorrow you need vision today.

Time, when viewed from the future, gives us the illusion that events happen fast, but real life occurs in slow motion — compared to history. Looking back, thirty years from now, 2013 to 2019 will compress into the blink of an eye, and history will have judged the winners and losers in the cryptocurrency markets, making it seem evident for all to see. Meanwhile, back in real time, what will you do if a coin you own hits a bump in the road.

With public interest in cryptocurrencies waning, are big players quietly manoeuvring behind the scenes?

With bad news all around, fake volume, SEC rejection, and the postponement of Bitcoin futures trading, it’s difficult for all but those who think in probability and likelihoods to hold on. As the public loses interest, are the mega-corporations and financial institutions quietly manoeuvring behind the scenes, making ready for the future with a pincer movement?